According to a recent study by PNAS (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America), Canada has scored high marks for the high quality of its intelligence gathering.
During a six-year period between 2005 and 2011, the results of 1,514 forecasts issued by the Intelligence Assessment Secretariat (IAS) were correct as much as 76 percent of the time. The authors also highlights the troubling fact that intelligence gathering, notably the NSA in the U.S., operates at will without being subject to review:
The report contends that though forecasting is a vital part of strategic intelligence, giving key decision makers at the highest branches of government geopolitical advice, “intelligence organizations seldom keep an objective scorecard of forecasting accuracy.”
Read more: Motherboard